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Methodology

Steig Load

A deterministic, multisport training-load model. One number across running, cycling, swimming, rowing, and strength — normalized to your threshold, not to a proprietary metric.

Core unit

100

= 1 hour at your threshold-equivalent effort

Core formula

t × RI² × 100

duration in hours × intensity weight

Normalization

× sport × estimator
× athlete × calibration

four multiplicative factors

Intensity weighting

The quadratic curve

Training load scales with intensity squared. A session at 1.2× threshold costs 44% more than a session at the same duration at threshold — not just 20%. This captures the physiological reality that high-intensity work is disproportionately costly.

Easy (0.65) → 42 pts/hr
Moderate (0.85) → 72 pts/hr
Threshold (1.00) → 100 pts/hr
Hard (1.15) → 132 pts/hr

Session simulator

15 min4 hr
0.40 (easy)1.30 (hard)

Raw load

72.2

before normalization

Steig Load

72

after sport normalization

Formula trace

1.00h × 0.85² × 100
= 72.2 raw

Estimator selection

Best signal wins

Each activity picks the strongest available signal. No single formula works for all sports — power is king for cycling, pace for running and swimming, set volume for strength. Weaker signals fall back gracefully with reduced confidence.

1

Power Load

Effective Power / FTP

high
2

HR Impulse

Avg HR / threshold HR

medium
3

Perceived

Session RPE × duration

low

Load aggregation

Three windows, one history

Each session adds to three exponentially-weighted averages. A short window (7d) reacts fast — tracking current fatigue. A long window (42d) moves slowly — tracking fitness capacity. Form is the gap between them.

Acute Load

τ = 7 days

α = 1 − e^(−1/7)

Short-term fatigue signal

S[n] = S[n−1] + α × (load − S[n−1])

Chronic Load

τ = 28 days

α = 1 − e^(−1/28)

Medium baseline for ratio

S[n] = S[n−1] + α × (load − S[n−1])

Long Load

τ = 42 days

α = 1 − e^(−1/42)

Long-term capacity trend

S[n] = S[n−1] + α × (load − S[n−1])

Acute 7d
Chronic 28d
Long 42d
Weekly load
16-week build · 3:1 pattern

Form balance

Long Load − Acute Load

When you train hard, acute load rises faster than fitness — form drops. When you rest, acute load falls while fitness holds — form rises. The productive zone is where most quality training should happen.

Overreached

-60 to -14

Loaded

-14 to -4

Productive

-4 to 8

Fresh

8 to 18

Sharp / Taper

18 to 60

Normalization

One scale, four factors

Raw load is in arbitrary units per sport per method. Four factors bring everything onto one comparable scale. Sport factors align physiological cost. Estimator factors correct known bias of each method type.

Raw Load×sport_factor×athlete_factor×estimator_factor×calibration_factor=Steig Load
Sport / MethodSport factorEstimatorEstimator factorCombined
Run1.0pace1.001.00×
Cycling1.0power1.001.00×
Swimming1.1pace1.001.10×
Rowing1.0power1.001.00×
Strength0.6strength1.000.60×
HR fallback1.0hr_impulse0.900.90×
RPE fallback1.0perceived0.750.75×
No data1.0default0.600.60×

Confidence model

Uncertainty is first-class

Low confidence never suppresses the load estimate — training still happened. It surfaces what was missing and what would improve the next estimate. Everything that degrades confidence is explicit.

High confidence

  • Primary signal reliable
  • Threshold data available
  • Secondary signals agree
  • Sensor data complete

Medium confidence

  • Usable signal, partial calibration
  • Some threshold data missing
  • Minor sensor gaps
  • Running power (uncalibrated)

Low confidence

  • Weak primary signal
  • Duration-only proxy
  • HR flatline detected
  • Signals strongly disagree

Signals that degrade confidence

HR flatline (sensor likely failed)

HR above plausible max

Power spike > 3× FTP

GPS dropouts > 30% of session

HR and power/pace disagree by > 25%

Power changed source mid-session

Indoor activity with GPS distance conflict

Duration zero or implausible

Strength training

Sets, not heart rate

Strength creates muscular, neuromuscular, and connective-tissue stress that HR cannot capture. Every set contributes based on volume, load, proximity to failure, and movement pattern. Heavy lower-body work is flagged for interference with endurance sessions.

Set-level formula

Set Load =

reps

× external_load (kg)

× proximity_modifier (RPE/RIR)

× pattern_modifier

Raw Strength Load =

Σ(Set Load) × 0.018

+ duration_h × 12

Movement pattern modifiers

squat / hinge / olympic1.15×
push / pull1.00×
carry / core1.00×
accessory1.00×

Lower-body load also triggers interference flag when near endurance sessions.

Muscular

55%

Main resistance stimulus

Neuromuscular

25%

Heavy / near-failure work

Mechanical

20%

Tissue stress, eccentric load

Interference

5–10%

Lower / upper body overlap

Planning baseline

Sustainable Load

Season phases are anchored to your sustainable load — the robust average of recent stable training weeks. Race weeks, illness, travel, and extreme outliers are excluded. The estimate blends fitness (42d EWA) with recent representative weeks, adjusted for current freshness.

Fitness weight

50–75%

Long Load × 7, anchors the baseline

Recent weight

25–50%

Trimmed median of last 8 stable weeks

Freshness cap

±15%

Form balance adjusts ±6% per unit, capped at 82–106%

Phase targets relative to sustainable load

Recovery

< 0.8×

Base

0.85–1.05×

Build

1.05–1.25×

Peak

1.15–1.35×

Taper

0.6–0.8×

Transition

< 0.7×

Important limits

What Steig is not

Steig Load is an estimate, not a measurement. No wearable directly measures physiological stress.

Steig is not a copy of TSS, CTL, ATL, or TSB. It uses the same underlying science but under different names and with different calibration.

Strength sessions carry more uncertainty — set-level data helps significantly.

Low confidence does not mean the session is excluded. It means the estimate carries wider error bars.

No single number fully explains injury risk, readiness, or performance. Use it as one signal among many.